Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.000190 0.000211 0.000234 0.000260 0.000290 0.000322 0.000360
2025-03-09 0.000150 0.000180 0.000215 0.000260 0.000315 0.000381 0.000467
2025-03-16 0.000122 0.000154 0.000194 0.000249 0.000321 0.000415 0.000547
2025-03-23 0.000106 0.000141 0.000186 0.000250 0.000341 0.000465 0.000652
2025-03-30 0.000098 0.000134 0.000185 0.000259 0.000370 0.000531 0.000788
2025-04-06 0.000086 0.000123 0.000174 0.000254 0.000377 0.000564 0.000879
2025-04-13 0.000075 0.000110 0.000160 0.000241 0.000370 0.000575 0.000936
2025-04-20 0.000070 0.000104 0.000156 0.000242 0.000385 0.000621 0.001056
2025-04-27 0.000066 0.000101 0.000155 0.000248 0.000408 0.000682 0.001212
2025-05-04 0.000061 0.000095 0.000150 0.000246 0.000416 0.000720 0.001331
2025-05-11 0.000057 0.000091 0.000147 0.000247 0.000431 0.000771 0.001482
2025-05-18 0.000053 0.000087 0.000142 0.000245 0.000440 0.000810 0.001616
2025-05-25 0.000050 0.000083 0.000139 0.000247 0.000455 0.000867 0.001801
2025-06-01 0.000047 0.000079 0.000136 0.000246 0.000467 0.000918 0.001987
2025-06-08 0.000042 0.000073 0.000127 0.000235 0.000458 0.000927 0.002077
2025-06-15 0.000040 0.000070 0.000125 0.000237 0.000473 0.000988 0.002306
2025-06-22 0.000039 0.000070 0.000126 0.000245 0.000505 0.001091 0.002659
2025-06-29 0.000036 0.000066 0.000121 0.000240 0.000506 0.001122 0.002833
2025-07-06 0.000033 0.000061 0.000113 0.000228 0.000490 0.001113 0.002893
2025-07-13 0.000032 0.000059 0.000111 0.000229 0.000504 0.001179 0.003182
2025-07-20 0.000031 0.000058 0.000112 0.000234 0.000530 0.001277 0.003589
2025-07-27 0.000029 0.000055 0.000109 0.000232 0.000536 0.001327 0.003862
2025-08-03 0.000028 0.000054 0.000107 0.000234 0.000552 0.001404 0.004242